President race predictions

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GOPerfect

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The "black" vote... The "Hispanic " vote...

Whatever numbers they come up with is a lie. There is no way to know these numbers. Your election/voting card/registration does not have your skin color or religion listed.

These numbers are a complete fabrication used only to divide....

libertysnake said:
As I work, I can overhear my black neighbor talking on his car phone to his family and friends about how so many people voted Trump, and no one really knew if she was any better of a candidate. I'm curious how much of the black vote Trump got
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SonOfSun

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Saltwater60 said:
Not a surprise. What was her message? I’m Joe Biden on what you like but I’m not him on what you don’t like. Then the reporter asked well what does that look like and she spews garbage. People hated her when she ran in 2020 and apparently they still do.
I’m surprised the media and democrats seem to think the economy was the most important for voters because I knew it would be. It’s great that everyone has a job but if they can’t afford life what then and this is where we are at these days. My wife and I make more than we ever have by a lot now and feel broke. Some of that is college for me and my kids but still prices are nuts these days.
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Her message was just I'm Joe Biden. It wasn't even I'm not Joe on the things you don't like.

A few weeks before the election she got tossed the easiest softball question ever and failed miserably. "What would you have done differently than Joe Biden?", her response was (paraphrased), "Nothing. I can't think of anything". This was despite having the opportunity of hindsight and knowing what people didn't like about him and where he failed. She could have said something about immigration, etc. Nope, instead she went all in on, "I'm a cookie copy of Biden". She's a fucking moron, and always has been. She got stomped like she deserved to be.
 
Saltwater60

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GOPerfect said:
The "black" vote... The "Hispanic " vote...

Whatever numbers they come up with is a lie. There is no way to know these numbers. Your election/voting card/registration does not have your skin color or religion listed.

These numbers are a complete fabrication used only to divide....
Click to expand...
It’s all from small sampling and projected out just like their polling was. They did a great job adjusting their polling to be more accurate this election cycle so why would you doubt their other projections….. of course that’s sarcasm. Polling was horrible again.
 
GOPerfect

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Saltwater60 said:
It’s all from small sampling and projected out just like their polling was. They did a great job adjusting their polling to be more accurate this election cycle so why would you doubt their other projections….. of course that’s sarcasm. Polling was horrible again.
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I am just glad my polling predictions were accurate.

The days of accuracy in the media is dead. Never to be revived.
 
Cavalry

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Saltwater60 said:
Polling was horrible again.
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I do not think the polling was at fault, more the interpretation was biased by their own political beliefs. The last few weeks I have been watching the 3 biggest youtube electoral map channels (really only the last 30 seconds of the video) based on polls and polymarket, and they had somewhat different takes on what states but on average they have been saying 312 to Trump all along.
 
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Dr. Evil said:
So, I hope some folks on here that were all doom and gloom have had some hope restored. There were many, understandably spouting about the 3 am cheat and he will never win. Again, it had to be too big to rig and it was. I am not saying from this moment on it will all be amazing, I'm just hoping you are a little less cynical and don't entirely run on emotion like the left does.

The silent minority majority has spoken. Vindication!
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Wish I could say this victory has erased my cynicism, but when it comes to DC I just cant help it. These commies are commies, but they aint dumb. They got some plan. They ran an apparent loser, knowing she couldnt win,their obvious ineptitude at covering for her and the openly fake, rehearsed and edited speeches makes me suspicious.Brandon would not have done any better. While I am extremely happy and relieved Trump won, I dont think it was a surprise to the deep state and I wont turn my back on them. And I dont have any more faith in Vances loyalty, still dont trust him. Its gonna take a lot to convince me he aint a deep state rat.
 
GOPerfect

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Cavalry said:
I do remember you put out your prediction some time ago. What was it exactly?

How did you do on your bets?
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I believe in July I predicted a Trump win with 326 electoral votes.

I thought for sure harris would have taken the popular vote... glad I was wrong!

As for the gambling side.... I came out of this very, very much in the black.
 
spat

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stokes said:
Wish I could say this victory has erased my cynicism, but when it comes to DC I just cant help it. These commies are commies, but they aint dumb. They got some plan. They ran an apparent loser, knowing she couldnt win,their obvious ineptitude at covering for her and the openly fake, rehearsed and edited speeches makes me suspicious.Brandon would not have done any better. While I am extremely happy and relieved Trump won, I dont think it was a surprise to the deep state and I wont turn my back on them. And I dont have any more faith in Vances loyalty, still dont trust him. Its gonna take a lot to convince me he aint a deep state rat.
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I'm a bit worried that they are planning some big global shit storm and wanted a scape goat.

Kamala was their choice, but Trump will do as well.
 
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spat said:
I'm a bit worried that they are planning some big global shit storm and wanted a scape goat.

Kamala was their choice, but Trump will do as well.
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Kumholio was never their choice except to fail. There is no way anybody with a half a brain thought she had a snow balls chance in hell. Like I said, they are scum suckin commies, but they aint stupid. Everything in my lifetime that came out of DC has been pure theatrics, I see this as nothing more. They got a plan, could be global, could be local, could be both.
 
Saltwater60

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Cavalry said:
I do not think the polling was at fault, more the interpretation was biased by their own political beliefs. The last few weeks I have been watching the 3 biggest youtube electoral map channels (really only the last 30 seconds of the video) based on polls and polymarket, and they had somewhat different takes on what states but on average they have been saying 312 to Trump all along.
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Probably but identifying and adjusting for bias is part of polling
I read an article where Nate silver said it is a 1:9.5 trillion of a chance for the polls to be as close as they were and I do t mean where Trump and Harris were 1-3% away from each other. What he meant was the number of polls saying they were within 1-3% of each other. Many times polls vary widely yet all these polls were within the margin of error. Makes you wonder how all the polling place were within the margin of error and all their errors went the same way with Harris slightly up nationally. How does that happen if it’s not coordinated?
 
Saltwater60

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GOPerfect said:
I believe in July I predicted a Trump win with 326 electoral votes.

I thought for sure harris would have taken the popular vote... glad I was wrong!

As for the gambling side.... I came out of this very, very much in the black.
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Went the exact way I thought as well with the exception of Trump winning both Michigan and Wisconsin.
Id also argue if he did a few things differently he could have won NYS and NJ.
 
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Watching the media try to explain what happened is hilarious. One lady is admitting it’s a problem outside of these two idiots. One reporter even said the Dow up is one good thing that happened today.
 
spat

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Saltwater60 said:
Probably but identifying and adjusting for bias is part of polling
I read an article where Nate silver said it is a 1:9.5 trillion of a chance for the polls to be as close as they were and I do t mean where Trump and Harris were 1-3% away from each other. What he meant was the number of polls saying they were within 1-3% of each other. Many times polls vary widely yet all these polls were within the margin of error. Makes you wonder how all the polling place were within the margin of error and all their errors went the same way with Harris slightly up nationally. How does that happen if it’s not coordinated?
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They all have the same biases.

They all sit around the same dinner table with the same left wing shills and convince themselves that most of the country agrees with them.
 
spat

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Saltwater60 said:
Went the exact way I thought as well with the exception of Trump winning both Michigan and Wisconsin.
Id also argue if he did a few things differently he could have won NYS and NJ.
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NY and NJ is a bridge too far IMHO.

Too many people in NYC who would vote for Joseph Stalin's rotting corpse if he was on the D ticket.
 
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spat said:
NY and NJ is a bridge too far IMHO.

Too many people in NYC who would vote for Joseph Stalin's rotting corpse if he was on the D ticket.
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Maybe but no money and no effort was spent in NYS or NJ. Yes Trump went to Madison square garden but 5-10% points in huge win democratic states is a win IMO. No the EC votes don’t go into his column but the dems must be crapping their pants over this.
Watching these morons say their polling was mostly right is hilarious. We said it was all within the margin of error in the swing states and it was. Well they are swing states because they are close calls so yeah why wouldn’t they be close. It’s +/- 4% points so if a swing state is outside the margin of error then it’s no longer a swing state.
 
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spat said:
NY and NJ is a bridge too far IMHO.

Too many people in NYC who would vote for Joseph Stalin's rotting corpse if he was on the D ticket.
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NJ is currently under 5 points. It was a bridge too far for this election, sure. But that's a huge crack in the east coast democratic strongholds. If Republicans dump tons of resources into Jersey for the next two years and they might have a shot of making it a legit swing state. If that happens, it'll influence downstate NY too. Turning a massive ship around starts with changing the heading just a degree or two.
 
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stokes said:
Wish I could say this victory has erased my cynicism, but when it comes to DC I just cant help it. These commies are commies, but they aint dumb. They got some plan. They ran an apparent loser, knowing she couldnt win,their obvious ineptitude at covering for her and the openly fake, rehearsed and edited speeches makes me suspicious.Brandon would not have done any better. While I am extremely happy and relieved Trump won, I dont think it was a surprise to the deep state and I wont turn my back on them. And I dont have any more faith in Vances loyalty, still dont trust him. Its gonna take a lot to convince me he aint a deep state rat.
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Never said I expect you to erase it. I am just hopeful it would lessen it a tad.
 
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