holdover
.475 A&M Magnum
Blocking the blockade is just brilliant!
But can they open it?
But can they open it?
US and Iran conflict thread. ( merged threads)
- Thread starter TEOTWAWKI inc.
- Start date
Steal2B
.700 Nitro Express
Fuckingchina
holdover
.475 A&M Magnum
I knew that was gonna happen
Saltwater60
20×102mm Vulcan
Useless. It’s time we stop assisting them. Russia can have Poland and the rest.
However, the title isn’t even close to the content. She said they would look at building and equipment efficiency to reduce demand.
spat
.950 JDJ
Russia might take the rest, but I think Poland could take them.
stokes
.338 Win Mag
Fuck russia, they cant even take the Ukraine. I think Poland is the only country in europe that aint over run with muzzie scum.
That's because they don't let everything with a heartbeat in. What a fucking novel idea!!!!
stokes
.338 Win Mag
Have heard they shoot illegal border crossers
The Blockade Is the Smokescreen. Within Seven Days, 2,500 Marines Will Invade the Island Behind It. Your Portfolio Is Not Ready.
I predicted this war 17 days before it started. I've tracked every ship, submarine, and bomber moving toward one island since. Every timeline converges this week.
open.substack.com
Short version: Iran's defense is decentralized by design. It will go on even without a central authority.
Marines go into kharg Island this weekend after the seals do their special prep magic.
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The Blockade Is the Smokescreen. Within Seven Days, 2,500 Marines Will Invade the Island Behind It. Your Portfolio Is Not Ready.
I predicted this war 17 days before it started. I've tracked every ship, submarine, and bomber moving toward one island since. Every timeline converges this week.
Halfway through, very interesting indeed.
Steal2B
.700 Nitro Express
holdover
.475 A&M Magnum
They may take some islands near the straight, but unlikely to take Kharg, too far north,to hard to supply , like 300 miles from straight . I think thats a total misdirection play. Sure they could do it , but its pain in the ass to hold it , better to take the Islands in the straight , and a little easier ,
Bigfoot
.475 A&M Magnum
Marines on way to Middle East seen using rifles with anti-drone smart scope
Marines on way to Middle East seen using rifles with anti-drone smart scope
The Marines in the photos are with the 11th Marine Expeditionary Unit, which deployed in March to support operations in the Middle East.
taskandpurpose.com
"The company that makes the SMASH 2000L advanced fire control system confirmed that a recent series of photos show deployed Marines using the smart scope."
"The SMASH 2000L is designed to track drones and other moving targets, and it also compensates for shooters’ movements, Thompson told Task & Purpose in July."
SMASH 2000L
How It Works (Step-by-Step Operation)
1. Basic Sight Mode (See-Through Reflex/Red Dot): It acts like a standard red-dot sight for quick, unaided shooting. You look through the see-through optics with both eyes open, using a simple reticle for rapid engagement.
2. Target Acquisition and Lock:
• Identify a target (ground or aerial, including fast-moving drones).
• Press a lock button (often on the handguard or grip).
• The system’s camera and AI detect and draw a digital box around the target, then begin tracking its movement in real time. It analyzes speed, direction, range, elevation, wind, and other factors.
3. Ballistic Calculations and Fire Timing:
• The integrated computer uses user-selected ballistics data (for specific rifles/ammo like 5.56mm M855) to calculate where the bullet will go.
• It continuously updates the firing solution, accounting for your own movement and the target’s path.
• Visual cues appear in the display (e.g., projected markers, arrows for aim adjustment, or a bold/cross reticle when hit probability is high—reportedly around 90-95%).
4. Shot Release (Fire Control Mechanism):
• You pull and hold the trigger.
• The rifle does not fire immediately. A Fire Block Mechanism (integrated into a replacement grip/trigger guard) prevents the shot until the computer determines the barrel is aligned for a high-probability hit.
• When conditions are optimal, it synchronizes and releases the shot automatically. This “coincident shot release” or “fire timing” removes timing errors.
• You can unlock the system for manual firing if needed (e.g., for static targets or rules of engagement).
5. Special Modes:
• Drone Mode: Optimized for erratic small UAS flight patterns; it can auto-detect/prioritize drones and provide guidance.
• Night Mode: Switches to low-light video display.
• Day Mode: Uses see-through projected markers.
• Recording: The camera often captures footage for after-action review.
It supports quick digital zeroing, multiple ammo/rifle profiles, and is rugged (MIL-STD compliant). Battery life is long (up to 72 hours or thousands of assisted shots), and an optional NIR illuminator aids low-light use. Weight is reduced in the “L” (light) version compared to earlier models.
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Another article by the same guy that predicts the marines go in this weekend. Warning, it's another long article but it is filled with data. Certain interesting quotes:
The organization that controls a third of Iran’s GDP, runs its own foreign policy, funds itself through no-bid contracts in construction, telecom, banking, and shipping, and was specifically designed to survive the exact kind of decapitation strike the United States just delivered. Imagine if the Marine Corps also owned Verizon, Bechtel, JPMorgan’s oil trading desk, and half the commercial real estate in Houston. Now imagine they answered to a cleric who claims divine authority. That’s the IRGC. That’s who the ceasefire is supposed to contain. Good luck.
There are roughly 100-120 million barrels of crude sitting on tankers that loaded before the war and have nowhere to go. These barrels exist. They are on ships. They are floating in circles in the Indian Ocean like very expensive, very confused cruise ships with no passengers and no itinerary. This floating inventory is depleting at 2-3 million barrels per day. Chinese teapot refineries in Shandong Province are buying these stranded cargoes at $15-20 premiums above benchmark because they have no alternative feedstock and closing the refinery means laying off 5,000 workers. When the choice is between paying an absurd premium and explaining to 5,000 families why Christmas is cancelled in a country that doesn’t celebrate Christmas, you pay the premium. By late April, the floating storage cushion is exhausted.
Asian dependency on oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. South Korea: 73% of its crude comes through Hormuz. 14 days of import cover.
Fourteen days. That is two weeks. Two weeks between “the economy is functioning” and “the economy is not functioning.” South Korea is where your semiconductors come from. Samsung and SK Hynix produce roughly half the world’s memory chips. Those fabs do not run on optimism. They run on electricity generated by burning oil that is no longer arriving. Japan: 88% through Hormuz. The world’s third-largest economy. Where your car was designed, your robotics were engineered, and your financial advisor’s model portfolio was backtested using data that assumed Japanese manufacturing would exist forever. Singapore: 100% of its LPG. One hundred percent. Not most. All. Singapore is the world’s largest transshipment port. When Singapore runs out of fuel, the supply chain doesn’t slow down. It stops. Like a heart. The Philippines: declared a national energy emergency. Bangladesh: zero strategic reserve. Not low. Zero. The number between negative one and one that means the lights go out when the last barrel burns. Your iPhone is assembled in China and India. Your semiconductors are fabricated in South Korea and Taiwan. Your car was designed in Japan. Your clothes were sewn in Vietnam and Bangladesh.
One-third of global urea trade passes through Hormuz. Urea is up 50%. QatarEnergy halted urea production. China restricted fertilizer exports.
If you do not know what urea is, you will. It is the nitrogen-based fertilizer that American farmers apply to corn, wheat, and soybeans so that those crops grow instead of not growing. The difference between “grow” and “not grow” is the difference between $4 bread and $8 bread. The timeline is six months. The fuse was lit three weeks ago. The math on planting just broke. When input costs spike, farmers apply less nitrogen. Lower application means lower yields. Lower yields mean higher food prices. You won’t see it at Kroger until October. The farmers see it now.
DEF. Diesel Exhaust Fluid. Made from urea. Every diesel truck in America requires it. Every single one. EPA mandate: no DEF, no trucking. The engine management system literally prevents the truck from operating without it. This is not a suggestion. It is a computer that says no. If urea tightens further, it is not just food inflation. It is logistics paralysis. The agriculture-to-trucking contagion runs through the same molecule. The farmer can’t afford the fertilizer. The trucker can’t run the truck. The grocery store can’t stock the shelf. And your financial advisor is showing you a chart of the S&P 500 at 6,960 and telling you the worst is over. The worst is not over. The worst is in the mail. First class. Return address: the Strait of Hormuz. Four billion people are adjusting to a world where the fuel doesn’t arrive. America hasn’t adjusted yet. It will.
substack.com
The organization that controls a third of Iran’s GDP, runs its own foreign policy, funds itself through no-bid contracts in construction, telecom, banking, and shipping, and was specifically designed to survive the exact kind of decapitation strike the United States just delivered. Imagine if the Marine Corps also owned Verizon, Bechtel, JPMorgan’s oil trading desk, and half the commercial real estate in Houston. Now imagine they answered to a cleric who claims divine authority. That’s the IRGC. That’s who the ceasefire is supposed to contain. Good luck.
There are roughly 100-120 million barrels of crude sitting on tankers that loaded before the war and have nowhere to go. These barrels exist. They are on ships. They are floating in circles in the Indian Ocean like very expensive, very confused cruise ships with no passengers and no itinerary. This floating inventory is depleting at 2-3 million barrels per day. Chinese teapot refineries in Shandong Province are buying these stranded cargoes at $15-20 premiums above benchmark because they have no alternative feedstock and closing the refinery means laying off 5,000 workers. When the choice is between paying an absurd premium and explaining to 5,000 families why Christmas is cancelled in a country that doesn’t celebrate Christmas, you pay the premium. By late April, the floating storage cushion is exhausted.
Asian dependency on oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz. South Korea: 73% of its crude comes through Hormuz. 14 days of import cover.
Fourteen days. That is two weeks. Two weeks between “the economy is functioning” and “the economy is not functioning.” South Korea is where your semiconductors come from. Samsung and SK Hynix produce roughly half the world’s memory chips. Those fabs do not run on optimism. They run on electricity generated by burning oil that is no longer arriving. Japan: 88% through Hormuz. The world’s third-largest economy. Where your car was designed, your robotics were engineered, and your financial advisor’s model portfolio was backtested using data that assumed Japanese manufacturing would exist forever. Singapore: 100% of its LPG. One hundred percent. Not most. All. Singapore is the world’s largest transshipment port. When Singapore runs out of fuel, the supply chain doesn’t slow down. It stops. Like a heart. The Philippines: declared a national energy emergency. Bangladesh: zero strategic reserve. Not low. Zero. The number between negative one and one that means the lights go out when the last barrel burns. Your iPhone is assembled in China and India. Your semiconductors are fabricated in South Korea and Taiwan. Your car was designed in Japan. Your clothes were sewn in Vietnam and Bangladesh.
One-third of global urea trade passes through Hormuz. Urea is up 50%. QatarEnergy halted urea production. China restricted fertilizer exports.
If you do not know what urea is, you will. It is the nitrogen-based fertilizer that American farmers apply to corn, wheat, and soybeans so that those crops grow instead of not growing. The difference between “grow” and “not grow” is the difference between $4 bread and $8 bread. The timeline is six months. The fuse was lit three weeks ago. The math on planting just broke. When input costs spike, farmers apply less nitrogen. Lower application means lower yields. Lower yields mean higher food prices. You won’t see it at Kroger until October. The farmers see it now.
DEF. Diesel Exhaust Fluid. Made from urea. Every diesel truck in America requires it. Every single one. EPA mandate: no DEF, no trucking. The engine management system literally prevents the truck from operating without it. This is not a suggestion. It is a computer that says no. If urea tightens further, it is not just food inflation. It is logistics paralysis. The agriculture-to-trucking contagion runs through the same molecule. The farmer can’t afford the fertilizer. The trucker can’t run the truck. The grocery store can’t stock the shelf. And your financial advisor is showing you a chart of the S&P 500 at 6,960 and telling you the worst is over. The worst is not over. The worst is in the mail. First class. Return address: the Strait of Hormuz. Four billion people are adjusting to a world where the fuel doesn’t arrive. America hasn’t adjusted yet. It will.
There Are Two Oil Prices. The Fake One Is on CNBC. The Real One Is on a Ship. Your 401(k) Is Built on the Fake One. Welcome to the New Subprime.
A robot just spent $83.5 billion making sure you don't notice the difference. Four charts. Twelve names. From the guy who turned $1M into $120M while 72 people watched and learned absolutely nothing.
substack.com
Bigfoot
.475 A&M Magnum
